马克·吐温(Mark Twain)所著“阿瑟王宫廷里的康涅狄格人”中的划时代英雄汉克·摩根(Hank Morgan),因成功地预报了一次日蚀,而得以逃脱死刑。真是令人难以置信,几乎没有什么事情是他不能预言的。而目前人类能够作出准确预报的大概只有日月蚀、季节和彗星回归了。无论人们找到了多么好的解释方法,预报还将继续使大多数科学家感到困惑难解。星体何时爆炸、人何时染病、癌症何时产生,或飓风何时爆发?因它们取决于相当多的巧合,以及微细的和不可测的因素,所以,这类事件几 Hank Morgan, an epic hero by Mark Twain in the “Heart of the Arthur’s Court,” escaped death penalty by successfully predicting a solar eclipse. Really unbelievable, there is almost nothing he can not predict. At present, human beings can make accurate forecasts about only eclipses, seasons and comets return. No matter how good people find ways to interpret, the forecast will continue to make most scientists feel puzzled. When the stars explode, when people become ill, when cancer develops, or when the hurricane breaks out? Because they depend on quite a few coincidences, as well as subtle and unpredictable factors,