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本文把力学理论和随机介质理论有机地结合起来，引入了拐点偏移距，扩大了PTS理论模型的应用范围，提高了地表移动预计精度.
In this paper, mechanics theory and stochastic medium theory are organically combined, the inflection point offset is introduced, the application range of PTS theoretical model is expanded, and the prediction accuracy of surface movement is improved.