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水库多年调节统计法,已经获得广泛应用。在本文中,作者提出一个以全概率定理为基础的灌溉变动供水多年调节的积分方程解法。一、现行统计法简评 1935年苏联克里茨基、明克里提出了以概率论为基础的多年调节统计法,可以求出在一定库容和供水要求下水库放空的概率(正常供水保证率),获得了广泛的应用。随后,1940年萨瓦林斯基又在克——明法的基础上提出了水库稳定蓄水保证率曲线的绘制方法,不
Reservoir regulation statistics for many years, has been widely used. In this paper, the authors propose a solution to the integral equation governing multi-year adjustment of water supply for irrigation based on total probability theorem. A Brief Review of Current Statistical Laws In 1935, Kriktskiy of the Soviet Union, Minkeli put forward the probabilistic theory-based multi-year adjustment statistics method, which can find out the probability of emptying the reservoir under certain storage capacity and water supply requirements (normal water supply guarantee rate ), Has been widely used. Subsequently, in 1940 Zawalinski again on the basis of the K-Ming law proposed a stable reservoir water storage rate curve drawing method, not