论文部分内容阅读
近几年来中国纺织业为什么会出现全面滑坡呢?真的是“总量过剩”了吗?据1995年统计,全国人口12.1亿,约占全球57亿人的21.2%。世界棉纺总锭数量1.68亿锭,中国内销需要规模为1.68亿×21.2%=3560万锭。1995年实有规模4190万锭,可供外销的只有630万锭,占总额的15%。而4190/16800=24.9%,也即到1995年底,中国纺织规模只比内销需要超过3.7个百分点。作为生活水平较低,即工资较低的纺织出超国家,这种规模完全是正常的,根本无“减肥”的必要。所以中国纺织业大滑坡与发达国家的“显著衰退”是貌似而神异的两码事,决不能混为一谈。当然,中央提出要把粗
In recent years, why has China’s textile industry experienced a full-scale decline? Is it really an oversupply? According to 1995 statistics, the national population is 1.21 billion, accounting for about 21.2% of the world’s 5.7 billion people. The total number of cotton spinning spindles in the world is 168 million spindles. The domestic demand for domestic cotton is 168 million×21.2%=35.6 million spindles. In 1995, there were 41.9 million spindles and only 6.3 million spindles were available for export, accounting for 15% of the total. With 4190/16800=24.9%, that is, by the end of 1995, the scale of China’s textile industry was only 3.7 percentage points higher than domestic sales. As a low standard of living, that is, a textile with a lower wage, it is completely normal and there is no need to lose weight. Therefore, the dramatic decline of China’s textile industry and the “significant decline” of developed countries are two seemingly different things and must not be confused. Of course, the central government proposed to