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目的:分析1988-2007年北京、上海、林州和启东地区女性乳腺癌发病和死亡的时间趋势。方法:收集北京、上海、林州和启东4个历史资料比较完整的肿瘤登记处1988-2007年女性乳腺癌发病、死亡和相应的人口数据,进行数据汇总和时间趋势分析。结果:1988-2007年北京、上海、林州和启东地区女性乳腺癌标化发病率(采用1982年中国标准人口构成计算)年平均增长百分比分别为2.49%、2.55%、7.04%和4.16%;标化死亡率年平均增长百分比除林州增长4.10%外,北京、上海和启东地区的变化差异不显著。结论:1988-2007年,北京和上海这2个城市与林州和启东这2个农村地区相比,女性乳腺癌发病率和死亡率变化显著;4个地区的女性乳腺癌发病率均呈明显上升趋势,农村地区上升更快;林州地区女性乳腺癌死亡率有上升趋势,其他3个地区的女性乳腺癌死亡率均无明显变化。
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the time trend of female breast cancer incidence and death in Beijing, Shanghai, Linzhou and Qidong areas from 1988 to 2007. Methods: Four female patients with breast cancer incidence, death and corresponding population data from 1988 to 2007 in Beijing, Shanghai, Linzhou and Qidong were collected. Data collection and time trend analysis were collected. Results: The average annualized rates of breast cancer incidence in Beijing, Shanghai, Linzhou and Qidong areas from 1988 to 2007 were 2.49%, 2.55%, 7.04% and 4.16% respectively (calculated by Chinese standard population composition in 1982). The average percentage increase of the standardized death rate in addition to forest state increased 4.10%, Beijing, Shanghai and Qidong changes are not significant differences. CONCLUSIONS: In 1988-2007, the prevalence and mortality of breast cancer in women in Beijing and Shanghai were significantly different from those in Linzhou and Qidong, and the prevalence of breast cancer was significantly higher in all 4 regions The rising trend in rural areas is rising faster; the mortality rate of female breast cancer in Linzhou area has an upward trend; the mortality rate of female breast cancer in the other three areas has no significant change.