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如何看待1995年钢材进口形势,还会出现1993年、1994年的超量、盲目进口现象吗?纵观近两年的钢材进口实绩、以及导致进口持续过热的主客观因素,根据国家今年实施的各项调控政策及管理措施,可以得出这么一个结论:1995年钢材进口将不会再现昔日的“辉煌”。钢材进口数量将比1994年大大减少一、全社会钢材总需求受到抑制,增幅趋势缓,低于生产增长。1995年国家从宏观上继续严格控制固定资产投资和信货规模,控制消费基金的增长速度,实行适度偏紧的基建投资、资金投放政策,从而抑制了全社会钢材总需求的增长幅度。据有关方面预测,1995年全年钢材消费略过亿吨,比1994年增长4%左右,大大低于国民经济9%左右的计划增长速度。钢材供需状况仍呈现供大于求的格局,因而对进口钢材的需求也必然减少。
How to treat the situation of steel imports in 1995 and whether there will be excess or blind imports in 1993 and 1994? Looking at the actual steel imports in the past two years and the subjective and objective factors that cause the imports to continue to overheat, The various control policies and management measures can lead to the conclusion that the steel imports in 1995 will not reproduce the old “glory”. The quantity of steel imports will be greatly reduced compared with 1994. The total demand of steel in the whole society will be restrained, and the growth rate will slow down, lower than the growth of production. In 1995, the state continued to strictly control the scale of investment in fixed assets and credit goods from a macro perspective, controlled the growth rate of consumer funds, and implemented moderately-tightened infrastructure investment and capital injection policies, thereby restraining the growth rate of total steel demand in the whole society. According to the prediction of relevant parties, the consumption of steel products in the whole year of 1995 had dropped by over 100 million tons, about 4% more than in 1994, much lower than the planned growth rate of 9% of the national economy. The situation of supply and demand of steel still presents the pattern of oversupply, so the demand for imported steel is also inevitably reduced.