经济结构演进的国际经验比较——基于Kohonen算法的数据探索分析

来源 :政治经济学研究 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:csh911229
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本文旨在通过运用数据探索分析法比较若干新兴工业化国家经济结构的演进轨迹,进而探究其经济结构的时序近似性。研究表明,工业化对于后发国家实施赶超战略是不可或缺的,但仅靠工业化不足以实现经济赶超。成功实现赶超的亚洲国家所推进的工业化往往同出口和投资在经济总量中的高占比紧密相连。另外,尽管拉美国家起步之初的工业产值占比很高,但整体经济的表现并不成功。南欧国家过早的去工业化和人为推动第三产业的发展则拖累了整个经济的持续发展。 The purpose of this paper is to explore the temporal approximation of its economic structure by using data exploration analytics to compare the evolution of economic structures in a number of newly industrialized countries. Studies show that industrialization is indispensable for implementing catch-up strategy in late-developing countries, but industrialization alone can not catch up with the economy. The industrialization promoted by the Asian countries that succeeded in catching up is often linked to the high share of exports and investment in the total economy. In addition, although the industrial output value of Latin American countries started from a high proportion, the overall economic performance has not been successful. The premature industrialization in South Europe and the artificially promoting the development of the tertiary industry have dragged down the continuous development of the entire economy.
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