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当前,随着人民生活水平的不断提高,旅游行业在我国比重呈逐年上升趋势。对旅游行业特点和需求进行有效的预测,能够帮助我国更好的提高旅游业在社会发展中的拉动作用,加快旅游业发展。本文系统的分析了旅游需求预测影响因素,并提出了相应的多元线性回归预测模型,通过案例实证分析,对多元线性回归旅游供应链需求预测方法做了进一步的论证。
At present, with the continuous improvement of living standards of the people, the proportion of the tourism industry in our country has been increasing year by year. Effective prediction of the characteristics and needs of the tourism industry can help our country to better promote tourism in social development and accelerate the development of tourism. This paper systematically analyzes the influencing factors of tourism demand forecasting and puts forward corresponding multivariate linear regression forecasting model. Through empirical analysis of cases, this paper further demonstrates the demand forecasting method of multivariate linear regression tourism supply chain.