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本文基于扩展的引力模型对中国双边服务贸易的决定因素与出口潜力进行识别和测算,并在此基础上对中国主要服务贸易伙伴非关税壁垒的“关税等价”进行估算.经验研究结果显示:贸易双方的经济规模、经济发展水平、物理距离和是否使用共同语言均会对中国双边服务出口产生显著影响.主要贸易伙伴对中国服务出口设置的非关税壁垒整体较高,中国应积极发展现代服务业并尽快建立有效的服务出口促进体系.“,”Based on the extended gravity model, this article attemptes to identify the factors which have significant effects on the bilateral service trade in China and calculate China's service export potential and the “tariff equivalent” of the nontariff barriers of China's major trading partners. Empirical research results indicates that the economic scale and the economic development level of the importer and exporter, the physical distance between two sides and the dummy variables whether they use a common language can have a significant impact on the bilateral service export in China. The general level of “tariff equivalent” of the non - tariff barriers on trade in services of China's major partners is very high. China should develop service industry quickly and carry out effective service export promotion measures.