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联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测是一个复杂的问题,影响弹药消耗的因素很多,许多因素难以在预测过程中定量地计算,具有较强的不确定性.集对分析是一种新的不确定性分析方法,其联系度概念具有鲜明的辩证性、完整性,使其成为处理不确定性问题的有效方法.因此,引入集对分析理论,建立分析模型,针对联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗多种预测方案进行评估优选.结果表明,方法简便、通用,计算结果较为客观和稳定,可为联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测方案评估优选提供新的有效途径.
The joint firepower to combat the army’s ammunition consumption forecast is a complex issue, and there are many factors affecting the ammunition consumption, many of which are difficult to calculate quantitatively in the forecasting process and have strong uncertainty.Combining pair analysis is a new kind of uncertainty Analytic method and its conception of connection degree have distinct dialecticalness and completeness, making it an effective method to deal with the problem of uncertainty.Therefore, by introducing the theory of set pair analysis and establishing the analysis model, aiming at the multi-prediction of joint firepower against the ammunition consumption of the army, The results show that the method is simple and universal, and the calculation results are objective and stable, which can provide a new effective way for joint firepower to attack and evaluate the ammunition consumption forecasting scheme of the Army.