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2013年最后一个月1,4-丁二醇(BDO)从年初的14800元/吨,一路震荡下滑至年末的最低点,定格在13300~13500元(散水货源)。迈入新年,在货源紧张氛围渐起中,个别持货商报盘小幅上移。但有专家认为,今年BDO的产能将集中释放,市场或维系2013年低迷走势。目前我国BDO产能年均增长率已经超过15%。2012年总产能就已达到71.9万吨,占全球33%。但按照当前的发展趋势,即使到2015年,国内需求也不足80万吨,需求增长速度低于产能增长已成定局。对于BDO企业来说,2014年无疑将迎来产能集中释放年。为使市场价格止跌回稳,原定2013年底投产的新产能,无一例外推迟至2014年第一季
In the last month of 2013, 1,4-Butanediol (BDO) slipped from 14,800 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year to the lowest point at the end of the year, with a fixed price of 13,300 yuan to 13,500 yuan (bulk supply). Into the New Year, the gradual tension in the supply of goods in the environment, some individual brokers slightly higher offer. However, some experts believe that this year BDO will focus on the release of production capacity, the market or to maintain the 2013 downturn. At present, China’s annual growth rate of BDO capacity has more than 15%. Total production capacity in 2012 reached 719,000 tons, accounting for 33% of the world total. However, according to the current development trend, even if domestic demand is less than 800,000 tons by 2015, the growth rate of demand below the growth rate of production capacity is a foregone conclusion. For BDO enterprises, 2014 will undoubtedly usher in a year of concentrated capacity release. To stabilize the market price, the new capacity originally scheduled to be put into operation by the end of 2013 was postponed until the first quarter of 2014