1、引言本文是一篇质疑性的文章。调查的主题是关于国际贸易双边贸易流的一系列研究结果。这些结果虽然先验地不象是有理的,从统计上看,却意义重大。这些研究结果几乎肯定是错误的,但根据30岁的荷兰人林宁肯曼(Linnemann)的博士论文,它将一些模糊的线索结合起来,提供了必要的证据。2、APEC 是一个自然的贸易区域吗?在新近的两篇论文中,弗兰克尔、斯坦和魏(1994a 1, Introduction This article is a questionable article. The subject of the survey was a series of studies on bilateral trade flows in international trade. Although these results are a priori not rational, statistically significant, they are of great significance. These findings are almost certainly wrong, but according to a doctoral dissertation by Linnemann, a 30-year-old Dutch, it combines vague clues to provide the necessary evidence. 2, is APEC a natural trading area? In the last two papers, Frankel, Stein and Wei (1994a