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本文主要依据日本方面的档案史料,就中国现代史传统意义上的“华北事变”的来龙与去脉问题进行了论述。学界目前有限的一些相关成果中,由于对此问题的较少注意,使得关于“华北事变”的论述,颇有突兀与孤立之感。本文的研究认为:华北事变是日本自九一八事变前后就酝酿并逐步实施且基本形成的、以华北政策为中心的对华新政策的必然结果;经过此次事变,日本在1936年全面确立了以“华北分治”为主要内容的对华政策;这一政策虽被迫在1937年上半年由林内阁进行了有限的修正,但由于近卫内阁的否定,日本最终走向了从七七事变开始“对华首先一击”的施策道路。
This paper mainly discusses the ins and outs of the “North China Incident” in the traditional sense of modern Chinese history based on the historical archives of Japan. In the current limited number of related achievements of the academic circles, due to the less attention paid to this issue, there is a sense of abruptness and isolation about the discussion on the “North China Incident.” The study of this paper argues that the North China Incident was the inevitable result of Japan’s new policy toward China centering on North China policy, which was brewing and gradually implemented before and after the September 18th Incident. After this incident, Japan fully established in 1936 Although this policy was forced to make a limited amendment by the Lim Cabinet in the first half of 1937, due to the denial of the cabinet by the Guards, Japan eventually headed for a change from seven Seven things began to change “the first blow to China,” the policy of the road.