新技术革命的浪潮冲击着世界,在这种冲击之下,电加工(非传统加工、特种加工的习惯称谓)的未来怎样,它会像水磨、风车一样,在蒸汽机、电机出现后逐渐消失吗?它会象计算机一样,在大规模集成电路的发展下,形成一个巨大的产业吗?2000年前后,电加工在我国经济建设中将占什么地位?这些均将决定我们的战略和行动。本文试图就这些问题作些分析和预测。 Under the impact of the new technological revolution, which shocks the world, how will the future of electric processing (non-traditional processing and custom processing) become like a water mill or a windmill disappear after the steam engine and motor appear? Will it, like a computer, form a huge industry under the development of large-scale integrated circuits? What will electroplating occupy in China’s economic construction before and after 2000? All of these will determine our strategy and actions. This article attempts to analyze and predict these issues.