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改革开放二十年,我们的出版实践和理论研究都取得了长足的进步和收获,但是对过去的岁月进行仔细地检视和回顾,我们发现对预测在出版实践中的运用和对出版预测的理论研究,出版界都还没有进行认真地反思,从而成为出版界在过去一个世纪留下的盲点和遗憾。随着改革的拓展和深入,预测与出版实践和理论的关系越来越密切,影响越来越大,因此,对这个问题重新进行认真反思,就是十分必要的了。
In the two decades of reform and opening up, both our publishing practice and theoretical research have made great strides and gains. However, when we look closely at and review the past years, we find that the application of prediction in publishing practice and the theory of publishing forecasts Research and publishing circles have not yet seriously consulted, thus becoming the blind spot and regret that the publishing industry has left over in the past century. With the deepening and deepening of the reform, the relationship between the forecast and the publishing practice and theory becomes more and more closely and the influence is more and more serious. Therefore, it is very necessary to rethink the issue seriously.