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将区域低碳化经济发展中广泛使用的Kaya公式引入产业低碳化发展研究中,对Kaya公式进行修正和扩展,把影响产业碳排放的因素分解为能源结构碳强度、规模产业能源强度、单位产出的产业规模比率和产业GDP,解决了产业低碳化发展中影响因素影响力的判断问题。以陕西交通运输业为例对研究方法的使用进行实例分析,得出节能是陕西交通运输业碳排放变化的决定性因素,实现二氧化碳排放减少首要的还是节能技术的推广、研发和有效的节能政策。
The Kaya formula, which is widely used in the economic development of low carbon economy in the region, is introduced into the research on low carbon development in industry. The Kaya formula is revised and expanded to decompose the factors that affect industrial carbon emissions into carbon intensity in energy structure, energy intensity in large-scale industries, Of the industrial scale ratio and industrial GDP, to solve the problem of influence of influencing factors in the development of low-carbon industries. Taking Shaanxi’s transportation industry as an example, this paper analyzes the use of research methods and draws a conclusion that energy saving is the decisive factor of the carbon emissions in Shaanxi’s transportation industry. The most important factor to reduce the carbon dioxide emission is the popularization, research and development of energy-saving technologies and effective energy-saving policies.