予测旱涝趋势,是涉及农业,也可以说是涉及国民经济发展的重大课题,特别为水利工作者所关注。于光远同志在一次灾害经济讨论会上不但对灾害经济的研究重要性做了阐述,同时对灾害研究的内容也列举了种种,如灾害的种类,灾害的概念、灾害的表现(潜在性、突发性)、防灾投资、救灾经济效益,灾害战略、灾害情报等等。我们从河南省水利学会通讯上,看到了有关中原水旱学术讨论会中一些论文的报导,觉得很有意思,做为“信息”摘要登载。 在水旱史料的分析方面,河南地理研究所盛福尧付研究员的《豫北安阳历史旱涝史料》和《历史气候几个基本问题的探讨》对历史气候资料的搜集,整理,使用,提出了有益的见解。河北省气象台陈玉琪工程师等的海河流域历代自然灾害史料的整编思路与 Prediction of the trend of drought and flood is related to agriculture, it can be said that it is a major issue involving the development of national economy, especially for water conservancy workers. At a disaster economy symposium, Comrade Yu Guangyuan elaborated not only the importance of the study on disaster economy but also the contents of disaster research such as the types of disasters, the concept of disasters, the performance of disasters (potential, Sudden), disaster prevention investment, economic benefits of disaster relief, disaster strategy, disaster intelligence, and more. From the newsletter of Henan Provincial Institute of Hydraulic Engineering, we saw reports on some papers from the Symposium on Water and Drought in Central China. We found it very interesting and published as a summary of “Information”. In the analysis of the historical data of water and drought, the historical materials of drought and drought in Henan Province and the discussion of “Several Historical Problems in History and Climate” researched by Sheng Fuyao, researcher of Henan Institute of Geography, have put forward some suggestions on the collection, arrangement and use of historical climate data Opinion Chen Yuqi, Hebei Meteorological Observatory, and other historical materials of the natural disasters in the Haihe River Basin historical reorganization ideas