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昆明是连接国内城市至东南亚、南亚国家最便捷的通道,是中国飞往印度洋区域的快捷航路之一,当前更成为“一带一路”战略的交汇点。文章选取昆明市1985-2013年的时间序列数据,实证分析昆明市民航运输与昆明市经济增长之间的关系。协整检验表明昆明市民航运输与经济增长存在着长期均衡的关系,并且昆明市经济增长对民航运输的弹性系数为0.9375,最后用Granger因果检验显示,昆明市经济增长对昆明市民航运输发展有显著推动作用而昆明市民航运输的发展未能显著推动昆明市经济。
Kunming is the easiest route connecting domestic cities to Southeast Asia and South Asian countries and is one of the fast routes from China to the Indian Ocean region. At present, it has become the meeting point of the “Belt and Road” strategy. This article selects the time series data of Kunming from 1985 to 2013, and empirically analyzes the relationship between the civil aviation transportation in Kunming and the economic growth in Kunming. Co-integration test shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between civil aviation transport and economic growth in Kunming and the elasticity coefficient of economic growth to civil aviation transport in Kunming is 0.9375. Finally, Granger causality test shows that the economic growth of Kunming has a positive impact on the development of civil aviation transport in Kunming Significant role in promoting the development of civil aviation transport in Kunming failed to significantly promote the economy of Kunming.