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统计登陆南海沿岸热带气旋的气候概况,分析热带气旋登陆前后特征及其变化,指出登陆热带气旋的区域特点。认为海南岛对热带气旋移动有重要影响,“岛影”现象明显;热带气旋登陆前2—3时次有典型的特征变化,对登陆预报有指示意义,华南沿岸登陆的热带气旋月个数不存在相关关系,不宜以它们为因子作自相关预报。
Statistics of tropical cyclones landing on the coast of the South China Sea are summarized. Characteristics and changes of the tropical cyclones before and after landing are analyzed. Regional characteristics of tropical cyclones landing are pointed out. It is believed that the phenomenon of “island shadow” is significant in Hainan Island. The tropical cyclone landed at 2-3 times before the landing had typical characteristic changes, indicating the significance of landing and forecasting. The number of tropical cyclone landed on the south coast of China was not There is a correlation between these factors and should not be used as a predictor of autocorrelation.