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本文旨在分析和透视“布朗危机”形成的原因,从而为政治学界更好地预测和理解英国大选政治的走向打下理论基础。第一部分从“西敏斯特”主义的角度分析布朗的领导力,布朗领导力上的软弱成为工党政府2010年大选出局的导火索;第二部分从保守党的角度论述布朗危机形成的另一原因,保守党所做的一系列调整和改变成为2010年大选工党出局的另一重要原因;第三部分则从“现代化”的角度分析布朗与媒体之间的紧张关系,没有媒体的青睐给工党政府在2010大选的选举动员中造成很大麻烦。
The purpose of this paper is to analyze and analyze the causes of the formation of the “Brown Crisis,” so as to lay a theoretical foundation for political scholars to better predict and understand the trend of British general election politics. The first part analyzes Brown’s leadership from the perspective of “Westminster ” and the weakness of Brown’s leadership becomes the fuse for the Labor government’s 2010 election. The second part discusses the formation of the Brown crisis from the point of view of the Conservative Party Another reason why the Conservatives made a series of adjustments and changes was another important reason for the emergence of the Labor Party in the 2010 election. The third part analyzes the tension between Brown and the media from the perspective of “modernization.” The favor of the media has caused great troubles for the Labor government in the election mobilization of the 2010 general election.