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本文选取1997年3月-2009年6月中国对外反倾销案例的涉案产品和国内相关进口竞争性产业数据,构建动态面板数据模型定量评估中国对外反倾销措施对进口竞争性产业的救济效果。结果表明,虽然反倾销措施对中国相关进口竞争性产业具有显著的救济作用,但是贸易转移效应和上下游产业继发性损害效应的存在会在一定程度上削弱上述产业救济效果。在此基础上,本文提出了中国对相关国外进口品实施反倾销的路径选择与政策建议。
This article chooses the involved products of China’s external anti-dumping cases from March 1997 to June 2009 and the data of domestic competitive import industries, constructs a dynamic panel data model to quantitatively evaluate the relief effect of China’s anti-dumping measures against imported competitive industries. The results show that although the anti-dumping measures have a significant relief effect on the import-related industries in China, the effect of the trade transfer and the secondary damage effects of upstream and downstream industries will weaken the above-mentioned industrial relief effects to a certain extent. On this basis, this paper puts forward the path and policy suggestions of China on the anti-dumping of imported goods concerned.