一、维持温和增长预期去年四季度美国GDP增长率终值从5.9%下调至5.6%,除了耐用消费品和设备软件投资略微上调外,其他分项贡献普遍下调,其中服务支出和建筑投资下调最多。消费支出增长率从1.7%下调至1.6%,对GDP增长贡献为1.2个百分点。消费拉动力的减弱预示经济只会温和复苏。 I. Maintaining Moderate Growth Expected last year’s final GDP growth rate in the United States dropped to 5.6% from 5.9%. In addition to a slight increase in investment in consumer durables and equipment software, other sub-items contributed to the general downward adjustment, with service spending and construction investment cut the most. The growth rate of consumer spending dropped from 1.7% to 1.6%, contributing 1.2% of GDP growth. The weaker driving force of consumption indicates that the economy will only moderately recover.