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2001年是中国十五计划的第一年,然而环顾全球,2001年的经济情况普遍不景气。就目前的情况看,2001年和2002年世界经济的增长率至多不会超过2％,多数国际组织的预测是在1.3％～1.5％之间。这意味着全球经济进入了“温和性的衰退”。而全球的贸易也跟全球经济出现了同步衰减,只增长了不到1％。世界经济之所以出现这样一种局面,首要的因素是美国经济的衰退。美国经济从2000年第四季度起就出现了增长回调的趋势,主要是因为其前一时期的投资过度,尤其是IT产业投资的过度引发了股市大幅度缩水,造成企业投资信心大
The year 2001 was the first year of China’s Tenth Five-Year Plan. Looking around the world, however, the economic situation in 2001 was generally sluggish. Judging from the current situation, the growth rate of the world economy in 2001 and 2002 will not exceed 2% at most. The forecast of most international organizations is between 1.3% and 1.5%. This means that the global economy has entered a “mild recession.” Global trade also saw a simultaneous decline with the global economy, growing by less than 1%. The reason why the world economy appears such a situation, the first factor is the economic recession in the United States. The U.S. economy has seen a downward trend of growth since the fourth quarter of 2000, mainly due to overinvestment in its previous period. In particular, overinvestment in the IT industry has led to a drastic shrinkage in the stock market, which has led to a big enterprise investment confidence