煤炭期货价格的影响因素分析

来源 :中央高校基本科研业务费项目研究成果学术交流会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:thinkthinkthink
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自2009年首次成为煤炭净进口国以来,我国煤炭国际市场化程度明显提高,但我国在国际煤炭价格上的话语权却较为薄弱.如何取得煤炭的定价权,是影响我国经济发展和社会进步的重要因素之一,因此研究煤炭期货价格形成及影响因素对煤炭定价有着重大的现实意义.期货价格是在现货价格的基础上,通过市场交易主体各自对未来商品供求变化的预测,采用公开竞争的方法确定的.文章从市场供求、政策角度、经济周期角度、季节因素、金融货币角度、国际环境和市场参与者的心理等几个方面分析了煤炭期货价格的影响因素,为进一步研究制定合理的煤炭期货价格影响机制奠定基础.2010年底,为推进煤炭市场化改革,健全和完善煤炭市场体系,及时反映煤炭价格水平及变化趋势,我国首个国家层面的煤炭价格指数—环渤海动力煤价格指数进入试运行阶段,有力地推动了煤炭市场化进程。
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物流配送中心的选址在整个煤炭企业供应物流系统规划中占有十分重要的地位,需要决策者综合考虑多种因素.传统的选址方法在选址过程中很少考虑指标之间的互相影响性.本文在物流选址中引进主成分分析方法,利用它消除评价指标之间的相关影响,减少指标选择的工作量,结合专家打分及相关的评价指标对多个候选方案做出评价与选择,最后通过M煤炭企业物流配送中心选址的实例验证了该方法的有效性.