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构建区域接力增长理论模型,初步证明了一个经济体可以采用区域接力增长方式而实现比单个(或某类)区域的快速增长阶段更长时间的持续快速增长。经验分析表明,改革开放以来中国经济持续快速增长过程中存在区域接力增长现象,就增长率而言,区域接力增长发生在2002年。这是中国经济实现长达30多年持续快速增长的一个重要原因。当前,东部发达省市正处于增速减缓和结构调整时期,而部分中西部省市则正进入快速增长阶段。因此,国家宜将这些省市作为接力区域,大力支持其经济保持快速增长趋势,从而实现全国经济的持续较快增长。
Building a theoretical model of relay growth in a region initially proves that an economy can adopt the mode of regional relay growth for a sustained and rapid growth longer than the rapid growth phase of a single (or certain type) region. Empirical analysis shows that there is a phenomenon of regional relay growth in the sustained and rapid economic growth in China since the reform and opening up. In terms of growth rate, regional relay growth occurred in 2002. This is an important reason for China’s sustained and rapid economic growth over the past 30 years. At present, the developed eastern provinces and municipalities are in a period of slowdown and structural readjustment, while some western and central provinces and municipalities are entering a period of rapid growth. Therefore, the state should regard these provinces and cities as relay areas and vigorously support its economy to maintain a rapid growth trend, so as to achieve sustained and rapid growth of the national economy.