论文部分内容阅读
出口商品结构的优化调整对对外贸易的盈利能力和竞争能力起着关键作用,而技术进步可以通过对产业结构、生产水平及比较优势的影响作用于出口商品结构。由此建立以技术水平为自变量、以出口商品结构为因变量的回归模型,实证分析技术进步对我国出口商品结构的影响。通过进行格兰杰因果关系检验及回归分析,结果显示我国技术进步是出口商品结构优化调整的显著影响因素,技术水平的提高能够有效促进工业制成品出口比重的提升。最后基于实证分析结果提出一定的政策导向以进一步优化我国出口商品结构。
The optimization and adjustment of the structure of export commodities play a key role in the profitability and competitiveness of foreign trade, and technological progress can act on the structure of export commodities through the impact on industrial structure, production level and comparative advantage. Therefore, a regression model with technological level as independent variable and export commodity structure as dependent variable was established to analyze the impact of technological progress on China’s export commodity structure. Through the Granger causality test and regression analysis, the results show that China’s technological progress is a significant factor affecting the optimization and adjustment of export commodities structure. The improvement of the technical level can effectively promote the increase of the proportion of industrial products exported. Finally, based on the results of empirical analysis, some policy guidance is proposed to further optimize the structure of China’s export commodities.