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本文使用我国31个省市1995～2009年的面板数据分析了在“增长失衡”背景下,我国公共支出偏向政策对缩小城乡差距的影响机制。实证结果发现:(1)社会性支出、惠农性支出显著降低了城乡差距,但在2007年前后的子样本表现不一。(2)在动态模型中,二者对城乡差距的影响也不同,社会性支出存在滞后三期显著降低了城乡差距,而惠农性支出在滞后第二期则扩大了城乡差距,之后的滞后两期将显著降低城乡差距。导致这种差异的原因在于农村项目在获批过程中的配套资金要求。
This paper uses panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 1995 to 2009 to analyze the influence mechanism of our country’s public expenditure bias policy on narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas under the background of “unbalanced growth”. The empirical results show that: (1) social expenditures and benefiting farmers’ pay significantly reduce the urban-rural gap, but the performance of sub-sample around 2007 is different. (2) In the dynamic model, the impact of the two on the urban-rural gap is also different. The third phase of the social expenditure lags significantly lower the gap between urban and rural areas, whereas the second stage of the agricultural pay-off expands the urban-rural gap, The two phases will significantly reduce the urban-rural gap. The reason for this discrepancy lies in the matching funding requirements of rural projects approved.