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基于中国29个省(市、自治区)的面板数据,采用DEA和Tobit方法,利用跨期数据比较分析了1995~2008年各省、全国及三大区域的全要素能源效率、产业结构和区域发展差异,并利用DEA模型对其成因进行了计量分析。研究结果表明,中国能源效率分布明显地是由西向东逐步提升,西部地区大多数省份的效率值很低,而东部地区省份多为最高效率或次高效率,这主要是因为东部地区的第二、三产业技术和生产效率明显高于中、西部地区。因此,中、西部地区缩小与东部地区经济差距的最优路径是使经济更加开放,突破路径依赖和锁定效应,建立中期以制造业为核心、重心逐渐向服务业转移的长期经济发展体制。
Based on the panel data of 29 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China, DEA and Tobit methods were used to compare and analyze the total factor energy efficiency, industrial structure and regional development differences in different provinces, regions and three major regions from 1995 to 2008 using intertemporal data , And use DEA model to make a quantitative analysis of its causes. The results show that the energy efficiency of China obviously increases gradually from west to east, the efficiency value of most provinces in the western region is very low, while the eastern provinces are mostly the highest efficiency or the second highest efficiency, mainly because the second , Three industry technology and production efficiency was significantly higher than in the central and western regions. Therefore, the optimal path for narrowing the economic gap with the eastern region in central and western regions is to make the economy more open, to break the path dependence and lock-in effect and to establish a long-term economic development system with manufacturing as the core and center of gravity gradually shifted to the service sector.