一、1995年的经济走势和未来若干年内我国经济运行的主要趋势1、1995年的经济走势1995年我国经济走势,主要取决于宏观经济政策的取向及其效力、经济体系主要矛盾的缓解程度和经济运行中各种因素的增长变化。总的说来,1995年的经济形势是:需求增势略减,但仍强劲;供给持续增加,但速率略有下降;运行环境有所宽松,但仍严峻;体制改革向深层次延伸,但新体制的运行仍缺乏规范化的基础。从需求方面看,增势仍十分强劲,但与去年相比,增长速度将有所回落。我国经济已进入快速增长时期,对基础设施和基础产业的投资不仅不会减少,而且会有较大幅度的增加;我国国有大中型企业技术改造的任务十分繁重,这部分投资也会增加;全国固定资产投资在建项目的完成,需要大量的追加投资;加上各地区、各部门对大量非基础产业的新增投资及乡镇企业的进一步发展,投资需求仍将保持强劲的增长势头,但由于宏观上受到偏紧政策的约束,增长速 I. Economic trends in 1995 and major trends in the economic operation in our country in the coming years 1. Economic trends in 1995 The trend of our economy in 1995 mainly depends on the orientation and effectiveness of macroeconomic policies, the degree of mitigation of the main contradictions in the economic system and Changes in the economic growth of various factors. Overall, the economic situation in 1995 was that: the demand growth was slightly reduced but remained strong; the supply continued to increase but the rate declined slightly; the operating environment was relaxed but still grim; the institutional reform extended to a deeper level; however, The new system still lacks the standardization of the operation. From the demand side, the momentum is still very strong, but compared with last year, the growth rate will drop somewhat. China’s economy has entered a period of rapid growth, and its investment in infrastructure and basic industries will not only decrease but also increase by a relatively large margin. The task of technical transformation of state-owned large and medium-sized enterprises in our country will be very heavy and this part of investment will also increase. The completion of fixed-asset investment projects under construction will require a large amount of additional investment. With the additional investment by a large number of non-basic industries and the further development of township and village enterprises by various regions and departments, investment demand will maintain a strong growth momentum. However, due to Macro-constrained by tight policy, growth