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1995年,比尔盖茨在其所著的《未来之路》一书中曾做过一些大胆的预测和猜想,其中虽然有很多猜想至今仍遥不可及,不过,也有一部分猜想已经实现。例如,比尔.盖茨在书中说:“你将能在你的口袋或者钱包里携带皮夹式电脑。它可以显示消息和日程,也能够让你阅读或者发送电子邮件和传真,还能跟踪天气预报与股票报告,简单和复杂的游戏都可以玩,如果你无聊的话也可以浏览信息,或者在上千张你孩子的易调用照片中进行挑选”。可以看到,盏茨所预测的皮夹式电脑,和如今已十分普及的智能手机,基本一致。再比如,书中预测:“信息高速公路将不仅会使与遥远的朋友保持联系变得更容易,而且还能使我们找到新的朋友。通过网络形成的友谊将天然地导致人们聚集在一起”。
In 1995, Bill Gates made some bold predictions and conjectures in his book The Road to the Future, though many of the conjectures are still out of reach. However, some conjectures have been made. For example, Bill Gates said in the book: “You will be able to carry a wallet computer in your pocket or purse, which will show you messages and schedules, and also allow you to read or send e-mails and faxes, Keep track of weather forecasts and stock reports, play both simple and complex games, browse information if you’re bored, or pick from easy-to-call photos of thousands of your kids. ” As you can see, the wallet computer predicted by Reitz will be basically the same as the smart phone that is now very popular. As another example, the book predicts: “The information highway will not only make it easier to stay in touch with distant friends, but will also enable us to find new friends. Friendships formed through the Internet will naturally lead to people gathering together ”.