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2014年以来,居民消费价格涨幅平稳,低于年初设定的调控目标,工业生产者价格则持续下降。1-11月,CPI同比上涨2.0%,PPI同比下降1.8%,预计2014年CPI上涨2.0%左右,PPI下降1.9%左右。价格改革、劳动力成本刚性上涨、肉禽价格波动将推升物价涨幅;经济增速回落、粮食稳产增产、输入型通胀压力缓解和翘尾因素回落将抑制物价涨幅。综合考虑各种因素的影响,预计2015年CPI上涨1.5%左右,PPI下降2.0%左右。2015年应重点推动价格改革,保证农产品供给,淘汰并转移落后产能,保持房地产市场基本稳定。
Since 2014, consumer prices rose steadily, below the regulatory targets set at the beginning of the year, while industrial producer prices continued to fall. From January to November, the CPI rose 2.0% YoY and the PPI dropped 1.8% YoY. It is estimated that the CPI will rise by about 2.0% in 2014 and the PPI will drop by about 1.9%. Price reform, the rigidity of labor costs, meat and poultry prices will push up price increases; economic growth rate down, steady grain production, input-oriented inflationary pressures and hikes will suppress the price increases. Taking into account the impact of various factors, the CPI is expected to rise by about 1.5% in 2015 and the PPI by about 2.0%. In 2015, we should focus on price reform, ensure the supply of agricultural products, phase out and transfer backward production capacity, and keep the real estate market basically stable.