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今后的一段时期内,在投资、消费和出口的“三驾马车”中,能够拉动中国经济继续高增长的动力源仍然只能是投资,它决定了消费和出口增长率改革以来,随着储蓄率的提高以及投资体制的变化,中国的年投资率一直维持在30%以上,资本形成明显加速。按照1990年不变价格计算,改革开放以来的30多年,物质资本存量年均增长率超过10%,成为中国经济高速增长的主要动因之一。与此相伴的则是,对中国以投资为主驱动经济增长的方式一直以来争论不断,似乎中国的发展,成也投资、败也投资。
In the coming period, among the “troikas” of investment, consumption and exports, the driving force that can drive China’s economy to continue its high growth can only still be investment, which has determined that since the reform of consumption and export growth rates, With the increase in savings rate and changes in the investment system, China’s annual investment rate has been maintained at above 30%, and the formation of capital has accelerated markedly. According to the 1990 constant price calculation, since the reform and opening up for more than 30 years, the average annual growth rate of material capital stock has exceeded 10%, becoming one of the major motives for China’s rapid economic growth. The concomitant issue is that there has been a constant debate over China’s mode of investment-driven economic growth. It seems that China’s development has become an investment, a defeat and an investment.