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目的:通过对“十三五”时期陇药产值的预测,以推动陇药产业的持续发展及陇药产值的稳步提高;方法:应用定量(GM(1,1)模型)分析与定性分析相结合的研究方法;结果:2016年-2020年陇药产值预测值分别为112.48万吨、123.26万吨、135.08万吨、148.02万吨、162.21万吨;结论:2016年-2020年陇药产值呈逐年上升趋势,增长速度较2011年-2015年有所提高。
OBJECTIVE: To predict the output value of peony during the “Thirteen Five Years” period, so as to promote the sustainable development of the peony industry and the steady increase in the output value of peony; Method: Quantitative (GM (1,1) model) analysis and characterization Analyze the combined research methods; Results: From 2016 to 2020, the predictive value of peony production was 1,124,800 tons, 1,232,600 tons, 1,350,800 tons, 1,480,200 tons, and 1,622,100 tons respectively; Conclusions: 2016-2020 Peony medicine The output value is increasing year by year, and the growth rate is higher than that of 2011-2015.