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20世纪50年代以来,亚太地区产业结构调整出现稳定的阶梯式发展趋势,这种阶梯式发展特征被普遍认同为产业结构雁阵理论在亚太产业实践中的体现。雁阵模式是一种动态的产业梯次转移和传递模式。直到20世纪八十年代,这种雁阵产业结构演化发生了根本性变化,并呈现出新的特征。基于亚太产业模式的大变化,理论界提出了新的诸如喷泉模式、齿轮组合联动模式、“双头列车”模式等修订模型。我们认为,不管亚太产业演进如何变化,但研究亚太经济结构的未来趋势,都应从产业、供给和需求、产业周期循环等三个方面加以考量。之于我国产业发展之战略,也应实时做出修正与调整,以适当亚太产业转型之需要。
Since the 1950s, the adjustment of industrial structure in the Asia-Pacific region has shown a steady trend of stepwise development. Such stepwise development is generally recognized as an expression of the industry-specific gooseneck theory in the practice of the Asia-Pacific industry. Yan Ge array mode is a dynamic industrial transfer and transfer mode. Until the eighties of the 20th century, the evolution of industrial structure of Goose Geese underwent a fundamental change and showed new characteristics. Based on the major changes in the industrialization of the Asia-Pacific region, theorists have proposed new revised models such as fountain mode, gear combination linkage mode and “double-headed train ” mode. In our opinion, regardless of changes in the evolution of the industries in the Asia-Pacific region, the future trends in studying the economic structure of the Asia-Pacific region should be considered in three aspects: industry, supply and demand, and industrial cycle. The strategy of industrial development in our country should also be amended and adjusted in real time so as to properly meet the needs of industrial restructuring in the Asia Pacific region.