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石油是重要的能源和战略物资。当今世界 ,石油供应和需求的发展不仅是一个经济问题 ,而且一直是涉及国际关系的政治问题。当前 ,我国能源供需平衡发展中的主要问题已经由总量平衡矛盾为主 ,转变为以结构性矛盾为主。这个结构性矛盾的突出表现就是石油供应短缺 ,它将成为今后制约我国国民经济发展的“瓶颈”。本文通过对石油供应短缺原因和我国石油供需平衡的分析 ,指出解决石油供应短缺的最佳途径是采取石油进口替代战略。
Oil is an important energy and strategic asset. In today’s world, the development of oil supply and demand is not only an economic one but also a political one that involves international relations. At present, the main issue in the balanced development of energy supply and demand in our country has been dominated by the balance of the total amount and the change to the structural contradictions. The prominent manifestation of this structural contradiction is the shortage of oil supply, which will become the “bottleneck” restricting the development of our national economy in the future. Based on the analysis of the causes of the shortage of oil supply and the balance between supply and demand of petroleum in our country, this paper points out that the best way to solve the shortage of oil supply is to adopt the strategy of petroleum import substitution.