今年是贯彻落实科学发展观、巩固宏观调控成果、保持经济社会良好发展态势的关键一年,也是全面实现“十五”计划目标、衔接“十一五”发展的重要一年,宏观调控和体制改革的任务十分艰巨。那么,今年的宏观经济形势是怎样一个发展趋势、是否有利于我国经济继续保持健康快速增长呢?本刊记者采访了亚洲开发银行驻中国代表处的有关专家。据亚行预测,今年中国的外部经济环境将略逊于去年,出口竞争将更加激烈,国内投资增速将明显低于去年,但仍将维持在20%左右的高位;消费需求将 This year is a crucial year for implementing the scientific concept of development, consolidating the achievements in macroeconomic regulation and control and maintaining a sound economic and social development. It is also an important year for the full realization of the goal of the “10th Five-Year Plan” and convergence with the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” The task of macro-control and structural reform is arduous. So, what is the trend of this year’s macroeconomic situation and whether it will be conducive to the continued healthy and rapid economic growth in our country? This reporter interviewed relevant experts from the Asian Development Bank in China. According to ADB’s forecast, this year, China’s external economic environment will be slightly worse than last year, and export competition will become even more intense. The growth rate of domestic investment will be significantly lower than last year but it will remain at a high level of around 20%. Consumption demand will