论文部分内容阅读
以内蒙古自治区服务业为研究对象,用向量自回归模型(VAR)论证了内蒙古自治区服务业经济增长与其碳排放之间存在长期的显著影响关系。为了更全面考虑其他因素对碳排放的影响,选取技术进步、能源强度、产业结构与旅游业的发展作为影响因素,采用最小二乘法(OLS)进行分析,结果表明:产业结构调整是碳减排的最主要因素,而旅游业的发展对碳排放有明显的推动作用。最后,指出内蒙古应从发展低碳服务业、调整产业结构、加大技术投入、开发利用清洁能源4个方面来实现碳减排。
Taking the service industry in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region as the research object, this paper argues that there is a long-term significant relationship between the economic growth of service industry and its carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region by means of vector autoregressive model (VAR). In order to more fully consider the impact of other factors on carbon emissions, select the technological progress, energy intensity, industrial structure and tourism development as the influencing factors, using least squares (OLS) analysis, the results show that: industrial restructuring is carbon emission reduction Of the main factors, while the development of tourism has a significant role in promoting carbon emissions. Finally, it is pointed out that Inner Mongolia should achieve carbon emission reduction from the aspects of developing low-carbon service industry, adjusting industrial structure, increasing technical input, and developing and utilizing clean energy.