从1980年起,我国航空运输在经历16年,年均增速20%的加速发展期后,1996年增长率降至12.8%。增长速度下降的主要原因,一是国家对宏观经济进行调控,总体经济增速减缓而趋向比较正常;二是1996年民航两次调高国内折扣票价,抑制因低票价而引起的客源膨胀。“九五”是我国航空运输发展的关键时期,这不仅反映在航空运输发展方面,也表现在民航体制改革方面,且两者相互影响。现对我国航空运输未来增长环境和动力机制作一分析,以把握空运发展态势,将有利于航空公司制订发展计 Since 1980, after 16 years of accelerated growth with an average annual growth rate of 20%, the growth rate of air transport in China dropped to 12.8% in 1996. The main reasons for the declining growth rate are that the state regulates the macroeconomy and the general economic slowdown tends to be more normal. Second, in 1996, civil aviation twice raised its domestic fare discount to curb the source of tourists due to low fares Expansion. The Ninth Five-Year Plan is a crucial period for the development of China's air transport. This is reflected not only in the development of air transport, but also in the reform of the civil aviation system, and the two are mutually influential. Now on the future of China's air transport growth environment and the dynamics of an analysis to grasp the development trend of air transport will help airlines develop development plans