来自国家信息中心经济预测部的分析报告显示，受去年基数较大的影响，今年三季度出口增速明显下滑，消费品零售额增速也将出现一定幅度的下降，但固定资产投资增长速度将进一步提高，总体看来，社会总需求增长将略有下滑。从生产角度看，农业形势将比上半年有所好转，工业和第 According to the analysis report from the Economic Forecast Department of the State Information Center, the export growth in the third quarter of this year showed a marked decline due to the large base last year. The growth rate of retail sales of consumer goods will also see a certain degree of decline. However, the growth rate of investment in fixed assets will be further increased In general, the growth of aggregate social demand will decline slightly. From a production perspective, the agricultural situation will be better than the first half, industry and the first