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文章就我国锯材进口的影响因素进行实证分析,结合柯布-道格拉斯函数建立模型,在Eviews 6.0的环境下对于各影响因素进行回归,并对回归结果进行了各项检验和调整。研究结果表明:在1994~2011年之间,国内影响锯材生产及贸易的政策、人民币实际汇率、我国家具及其零部件出口额以及我国锯材产量对我国锯材进口总额有着较大影响,成为此期间影响我国锯材进口的主要因素。
The paper makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of China’s lumber imports, and combines the Cobb-Douglas function to establish a regression model for all the influencing factors under the conditions of Eviews 6.0. The regression results are tested and adjusted. The results show that the policies affecting domestic production and trade of sawn timber, the real exchange rate of RMB, the export of furniture and their parts and components and the output of lumber in our country have a great impact on the total amount of lumber imports in China from 1994 to 2011, Become the main factor affecting China’s timber imports during this period.