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在对省级电网企业供电成本构成及其影响因素进行深入分析的基础上,借助回归分析方法探讨了2009年中国销售电价省际差异的主要驱动因素及其影响程度,基于情景模拟方法,模拟了在电价无管制的理想状态下,北京2010～2020年平均销售电价的变动趋势。为电价主管部门采取相应措施以缓解未来各地区销售电价的上涨压力提供了一定的参考价值。
Based on an in-depth analysis of the composition of power supply costs and its influencing factors in provincial power grids, the main driving factors and their degree of impact on the provincial differences in electricity sales price in China are explored by means of regression analysis. Based on the scenario simulation method, In the ideal state of uncontrolled tariffs, the average selling price of Beijing from 2010 to 2020 changes. For the electricity authorities take appropriate measures to alleviate the future sales pressure in various regions of the pressure to provide a certain reference value.