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目的调查估计广州市男性同性恋人群的规模,探讨乘数法应用过程中的影响因素。方法应用乘数法按场所分层调查,对广州市男性同性恋人群的规模进行估计。结果广州市酒吧类、桑拿类和公园、公厕类场所的男性同性恋人群规模,分别为2718人(2427人～3080人)、13486人(12145人～15143人)和8668人(7470人～10332人)。广州市男性同性恋人群总的规模为24872人(22042人～28555人)。结论运用乘数法对男性同性恋人群规模进行估计经济易行,结果可信,但须注意乘数法的适用人群和实施注意事项。
Objective To investigate the scale of male gay population in Guangzhou and to explore the influencing factors in the application of multiplier method. Methods Multi-factor method was used to survey the scale of male gay population in Guangzhou according to the stratified survey. Results There were 2718 (2427 ~ 3080), 13486 (12145 ~ 15143) and 8668 (7470 ~ 10332) male homosexuals in bar, sauna and public toilets in Guangzhou. ). The total size of male gay population in Guangzhou is 24872 (22042 to 28555 people). Conclusions The multiplication method is used to estimate the size of the male homosexuality population. It is feasible and credible. However, it is necessary to pay attention to the applicable population of multiplier method and the implementation precautions.