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世界杯激战犹酣。谁能最终夺冠?获胜国将会因此获得怎样的经济增长?荷兰银行经济研究部的学者认为,足球对宏观经济和金融市场的影响肯定不足以将一次衰退转变为繁荣,但不应低估它的作用。据历史数据显示,在世界杯赛事当年,夺冠球队所在国的经济增长速度总是会高于在决赛中落败的国家。荷兰银行经济研究部从经济层面和市场层面预测了哪个国家将会在世界杯赛事上夺冠, 以及随之而来的经济影响。标准普尔建立的1998年与2002年世界杯赞助商指数清晰地显示出世界杯给这些赞助商带来了什么。
World Cup fighting still sound. Who wins? And what kind of economic growth will the winning country gain? Academics at ABN Research believe football’s impact on the macroeconomic and financial markets is certainly not enough to turn a recession into prosperity, but it should not be underestimated effect. According to historical data, in the year of the World Cup, the speed of economic growth in the country where the team won the championship will always be higher than that in the final defeat. ABN Amro Research predicts which country will win the World Cup at economic and market levels, with the resulting economic impact. The 1998 and 2002 World Cup Sponsor Indices, established by Standard & Poor’s, clearly show what the World Cup has brought to these sponsors.