北京大学国家发展研究院院长姚洋近日撰文针对短期的经济增长提出看法。他认为,目前经济下行的原因主要有三点:一是国际金融危机,这导致中国的出口变为负增长,进而影响经济增速。二是结构性因素,经济增长由工业化拉动转变为服务业驱动后必然会放缓节奏。三是周期因素, Yao Yang, president of National Development Research Institute of Peking University, recently wrote an article on short-term economic growth. He believes that the current economic downturn for three main reasons: First, the international financial crisis, which led to China’s exports to negative growth, thereby affecting the economic growth. Second, structural factors will inevitably slow down the pace of economic growth as it changes from being industrialized into a service-driven one. Third, the cycle factor,