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打击链对于形成基于信息系统的体系作战能力、提升作战效能具有重要的意义.打击链的闭环时间是衡量打击链效能的重要指标之一.实际作战过程中存在着大量的不确定因素,如何形式化表征不确定因素,对打击链效能进行评估是开展打击链研究的基础.本文依据典型作战体系和作战过程,构建了3类打击链模型,分别是链路模型、无回路网络模型和有回路网络模型.用随机方法来形式化表征完成时间、完成状况和转移状况等不确定因素,研究并给出了3类打击链模型闭环时间的计算评估方法.本文的研究结果为开展不确定性打击链的建模、效能评估与生成等提供了一定的理论基础和技术支撑.
Strike chains are of great significance to the formation of an information-based system combat capability and to improve operational effectiveness.Combining the chain’s closed-loop time is one of the important indicators to measure the effectiveness of the chain of attack.Many uncertainties exist in actual combat, To characterize the uncertainties and evaluate the effectiveness of the attack chain is the basis for the study of the attack chain.According to the typical combat system and the operational process, three types of attack chain models are constructed, which are the link model, the non-loop network model and the loop Network model.The random method is used to formally characterize the uncertainties such as the completion time, the completion status and the transfer status, and the calculation and evaluation methods of the closed-loop time of the three types of chain-attack models are studied and presented.The results of this paper are for carrying out the uncertainty blow Chain modeling, performance evaluation and generation provides a certain theoretical basis and technical support.