论文部分内容阅读
基于1991—2009年中国营养与健康调查(CHNS)数据,本文考察不同时期出生老人的健康动态变化轨迹及其影响机制。在利用随机效应模型,并用Cox比例风险模型解决估计偏误,发现不同维度的健康指标表现迥异:日常行为能力指标在代际间逐步改善,但慢性病和健康风险指标却在逐步恶化,且农村更为严峻;进一步从经济发展水平、营养状况和教育程度三方面进行了解释。上述结论表明需要综合考虑不同健康指标以更好地理解及推进我国健康老龄化;且未来要以农村为重点,通过有效发挥基层医疗、教育的作用,加强对慢性病和健康风险的防治。
Based on the China Nutrition and Health Surveys (CHNS) data from 1991 to 2009, this paper examines the trajectories and mechanisms of health dynamics of newborns at different ages. Using the random effects model and using the Cox proportional hazards model to solve the estimation bias, it was found that the performance of health indicators in different dimensions varied widely: the indicators of daily behavioral performance gradually improved from generation to generation, but the indicators of chronic diseases and health risks were gradually deteriorating, For the harsh; further from the level of economic development, nutritional status and education levels were explained in three aspects. The above conclusion shows that we need to comprehensively consider different health indicators to better understand and promote healthy aging in our country. In the future, we should focus on rural areas and strengthen the prevention and control of chronic diseases and health risks by effectively giving play to primary medical care and education.