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利用2011年前8个月的数据和资料分析了我国外贸形势,得出了以下结论:2011年年初以来,受日本地震、欧债危机、美债危机等不利因素的影响,我国进出口增速整体呈放缓趋势,出口类指标主要运行在衰退期和萧条期。但贸易结构有所改善,贸易顺差下降,一般贸易增速明显高于加工贸易增速,对新兴市场的出口成为新的贸易增长点。在贸易形势的变化中,技术密集型产品出口增速放缓和欧债危机的恶化最值得关注。预计下半年我国进出口将保持平稳增长,增速略低于上半年;全年增速相比2010年有明显回落。基于以上分析,提出了国家应采取措施稳定技术密集型产品出口,密切关注欧美经济发展动态,减少对欧美市场的依赖,帮助中小型外贸企业缓解资金紧张的困局,扩大人民币在跨境贸易与投资中的作用的建议。
Using the data and data of the first eight months of 2011, we analyzed the situation of China’s foreign trade and reached the following conclusions: Since the beginning of 2011, affected by the adverse factors such as the earthquake in Japan, the debt crisis in Europe and the U.S. debt crisis, the growth rate of China’s import and export The overall trend is slowing down, export-oriented indicators mainly run in the recession and depression period. However, the trade structure has improved, the trade surplus has dropped, the growth rate of general trade has been significantly higher than the growth rate of processing trade, and exports to emerging markets have become the new points of trade growth. Among the changes in the trade situation, the slowdown in the growth of exports of technology-intensive products and the worsening of the European debt crisis are the most noteworthy issues. It is estimated that in the second half of this year, China’s import and export will maintain steady growth, with the growth rate slightly lower than that of the first half of the year; the annual growth rate has obviously dropped compared with 2010. Based on the above analysis, it is put forward that the state should take measures to stabilize the export of technology-intensive products, pay close attention to the economic developments in Europe and the United States, reduce the dependence on the European and American markets, help the small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises to alleviate the financial difficulties, expand the cross-border trade of RMB The role of investment in the proposal.