十八大开完之后,改革是很重要的话题。改革需要抓住一些新的机遇,因此,有必要分析一下国内外形势。关于全球形势,我的基本判断有三点。第一,欧洲经济很难再成长。欧洲的债务危机最艰难的时候已经过去了,但是欧洲很难出发。欧洲已经变成了日本,未来十年欧洲没有什么增长。第二,2013年年初美国的经济增长会有困难,但是美国会跨过悬崖重新出发。 After the eighteenth anniversary, reform is a very important topic. The reform needs to seize some new opportunities. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the situation at home and abroad. As for the global situation, I have three basic judgments. First, the European economy is difficult to grow again. The worst of the debt crisis in Europe is over, but Europe is difficult to set out. Europe has become Japan, and there will be no growth in Europe over the next decade. Second, there will be difficulties in U.S. economic growth in early 2013, but the United States will start off across the cliff again.