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本文分析了泰安市地区近53年的气候变化规律,发现该地区气温上升,降水减少,日照降低,对全球变化响应显著。采用了近53年的气候特征值重点对肥城桃作了气候适宜性评价,发现肥城桃的主要限制性因素是高温。由肥城桃产量和气候特征值的相关分析发现,高温已经对肥城桃的产量产生了负面影响。该地区的果业发展中,果品结构应该进行调整。
This article analyzes the climate change in the recent 53 years in Tai’an City, and finds that the temperature in the area is rising, the precipitation is decreasing, the sunshine is decreasing, and the response to the global change is remarkable. Using nearly 53 years of climatic eigenvalues, we made an evaluation on the climate suitability of Feicheng peach and found that the main limiting factor of Feicheng peach is the high temperature. According to the correlation analysis of peach yield and climate characteristic value, the high temperature has had a negative impact on the yield of Feicheng peach. In the fruit industry in the region, the structure of fruit should be adjusted.