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本文从贸易的种类差额、数量差额和价格差额角度,分析中国农产品贸易总体、不同农产品类别及中国与不同贸易伙伴之间三种差额的表现,预测我国农产品贸易逆差发展趋势。建议对不同产品区别对待,继续发挥水产品、蔬菜、水果和坚果等劳动密集型农产品的比较优势,而土地密集型农产品应在满足粮食自给率前提下,继续利用国际市场满足国内庞大的需求,但应注意避免农产品贸易来源过于集中。
This article analyzes the performance of China’s agricultural products trade, the different agricultural product categories and the performance of the three kinds of balances between China and its different trading partners from the perspective of types of trade differences, quantity differences and price differences, and forecasts the development trend of China’s agricultural trade deficit. It is suggested that different products should be treated differently and the comparative advantages of labor-intensive agricultural products such as aquatic products, vegetables, fruits and nuts continue to be exerted. Land-intensive agricultural products should continue to utilize the international market to meet the huge domestic demand under the premise of meeting the grain self- However, care should be taken to avoid over-concentration of agricultural products.